Published & Updated: January 27, 2026
Four significant token unlocks totaling over $98 million are scheduled between January 28 and February 1, 2026 — coinciding with the Federal Reserve’s January 28 FOMC meeting (markets pricing 97% probability of rates staying at 3.50–3.75%). The largest is SUI’s $64.4 million unlock on February 1 (1.15% of circulating supply), followed by SIGN ($11.6M, 17.68%), EIGEN ($12M, 8.88%) and KMNO ($10.4M, 3.68%). These events arrive during a period of macro uncertainty: Bitcoin hovers near $88,000 after recent ETF outflows, stablecoin supply contracts, and gold continues its safe-haven rally past $5,000. Token unlocks often create short-term selling pressure (especially for high % of supply), but can also trigger accumulation if sentiment remains constructive. This article provides a complete breakdown of each unlock’s mechanics, historical price impact patterns, technical levels to watch, macro overlay with the Fed decision, and practical trading setups on Tapbit for navigating unlock-related volatility in late January / early February 2026.
Token Unlock Schedule & Supply Impact – January 28 to February 1, 2026
| Token | Unlock Date | Unlock Value (USD) | % of Circulating Supply | Potential Price Pressure | Key Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIGN | January 28, 2026 | $11.6 million | 17.68% | High (large % supply) | Early-week liquidity event; watch for pre-unlock dump |
| KMNO | January 30, 2026 | $10.4 million | 3.68% | Moderate | Mid-week unlock; lower relative supply impact |
| SUI | February 1, 2026 | $64.4 million | 1.15% | Medium-High (large absolute value) | Largest dollar unlock; weekend timing may mute initial reaction |
| EIGEN | February 1, 2026 | $12 million | 8.88% | High | Significant % supply; restaking narrative in focus |
Historical Price Impact Patterns Around Token Unlocks
Token unlock events typically create short-term volatility due to increased circulating supply and potential selling from recipients (team, investors, early contributors). Common patterns observed in 2024–2025:
- Pre-unlock sell-off: Prices often dip 5–25% in the 3–7 days leading up to unlock as traders front-run supply increase
- Post-unlock reaction:
- High % supply unlocks (>10%) → 15–40% average drawdown in first 48 hours (SIGN, EIGEN risk)
- Low % supply (<5%) → muted or even bullish reaction if sentiment strong (KMNO, SUI possible)
- Recovery timeline: 60% of projects regain pre-unlock levels within 2–4 weeks if fundamentals remain intact
- Macro overlay: Fed decision on Jan 28 (97% chance of pause) + tariff uncertainty amplify downside risk if risk-off sentiment dominates
Macro Overlay: Fed Rate Decision + Tariff Uncertainty
The unlocks occur against a challenging macro backdrop:
- Fed January 28 decision: Markets price **97%** probability of rates staying at 3.50–3.75%; any hawkish surprise would strengthen USD and pressure risk assets
- Trump tariff threats: 100% tariff warning on Canada (China trade talks) + broader trade war rhetoric → risk-off flows favor gold over crypto
- Stablecoin contraction: $2.24B decline signals capital rotation to traditional safe-havens
- Bitcoin ETF outflows: $1.3B weekly redemptions add selling pressure on majors
Result: unlocks in a risk-off environment increase probability of deeper post-unlock drawdowns unless Fed delivers dovish guidance or tariff fears de-escalate.
Token-Specific Outlook & Trading Considerations
SIGN – January 28 Unlock ($11.6M, 17.68% supply)
- Highest relative supply risk → expect pre-unlock pressure
- Support: prior range low (~$0.55–$0.60)
- Resistance: $0.75–$0.80 (pre-unlock highs)
- Strategy: Fade rallies into unlock; look for capitulation buy if volume dries up post-release
KMNO – January 30 Unlock ($10.4M, 3.68% supply)
- Lower relative impact → liquidity boost possible if sentiment constructive
- Watch $0.08–$0.085 support zone
- Strategy: Range trade or long dips if volume supports
SUI – February 1 Unlock ($64.4M, 1.15% supply)
- Largest absolute value → weekend timing may mute initial reaction
- Support: $3.20–$3.40 (recent base)
- Strategy: Accumulate dips if macro stabilizes; high R:R above $3.80 breakout
EIGEN – February 1 Unlock ($12M, 8.88% supply)
- Significant % supply → volatility spike likely
- Support: $3.50–$3.70
- Strategy: Short-term fade or wait for post-unlock capitulation
Tapbit Trading Strategies Around Unlock Week
- Create your Tapbit account (0% maker fees)
- Deposit USDT or fiat via bank transfer
- Pre-unlock fade: Short high-beta tokens (SIGN, EIGEN) into unlock levels on overbought signals (20–50x leverage, isolated margin)
- Post-unlock dip buy: Long SUI or KMNO on capitulation + volume dry-up (target prior highs)
- Macro hedge: Long XAU/USDT perpetuals if Fed hawkish or tariff fears escalate
- Risk control: Max 1–2% account risk per trade; tight stops below key supports
Conclusion & Near-Term Outlook
The week of January 28–February 1, 2026, brings over $98 million in token unlocks (SIGN $11.6M Jan 28, KMNO $10.4M Jan 30, SUI $64.4M & EIGEN $12M Feb 1) right before the Fed’s January 28 decision (97% chance of rates unchanged at 3.50–3.75%). High % supply unlocks (SIGN 17.68%, EIGEN 8.88%) carry elevated short-term sell-pressure risk, while larger dollar unlocks (SUI) may see muted reaction due to weekend timing. Macro overlay remains challenging: tariff uncertainty, Bitcoin ETF outflows, and stablecoin contraction favor risk-off assets like gold.
Trade token unlock volatility on Tapbit:
- Sign Up on Tapbit (0% spot trading fees)
- Login & Deposit
- Live SUI/USDT, SIGN/USDT, EIGEN/USDT, KMNO/USDT & BTC/USDT Charts
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk of loss. Token unlocks often create high volatility and selling pressure. Macro events (Fed, tariffs) can cause rapid price swings. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and never invest more than you can afford to lose completely.
